Methodology

How we know what we tell you.

Analysis is only as good as the discipline behind it. Ours rests on one rule: verified, not estimated. Everything else, the confidence ratings, the visible sourcing, the boundary we keep between analysis and fieldwork, follows from it.

01

Verified, not estimated

Every factual claim is checked against a primary source: the treaty text, an OFAC designation, a court record, an audited filing. Where we cannot verify to a sufficient standard, we say so, in the deliverable, in writing. We do not launder assumption as fact.

02

Every claim carries a confidence rating

Analysis is only useful if you know how much weight it holds. We rate our conclusions explicitly and separate what is documented from what is inferred, so you can price the uncertainty rather than inherit ours.

03

Sourcing you can audit

Each brief names its evidentiary base, from the SPA annexes and JSC notifications to on-record interviews and public transaction reporting. When a source is confidential, we say that too. The chain of reasoning is always visible.

04

Analysis and advisory, not fieldwork

We analyse where the record ends; we do not run investigations, originate deals, or facilitate transactions. That boundary keeps our judgement independent of any outcome and our advice free of a commercial stake in your decision.

05

Exclusive to the Strategic Partnership

We work only on the US-DRC SPA and its direct implications, not generic Africa consulting. Depth in one framework beats breadth across many: we know the clocks, the annexes, and the actors because we track nothing else.

06

Independent by structure

Professional fees only, as project fees or retainers. No equity, no success fees, no performance-linked compensation, no government or party affiliation. Our analysis serves your interest and nothing else because it is built not to serve anything else.

How an engagement runs

From first call to standing coverage.

01

The diagnostic call

Thirty minutes, not a proposal. We map your situation, your exposure and your timeline, and we tell you whether our work is the right fit. If it is not, we say so.

02

Scoped engagement

We scope against a specific question, on your asset, on your timeline. Project-based, retainer or hybrid. Every engagement is confidential and covered by an NDA.

03

The deliverable

A dated, sourced, confidence-rated read, with a register of what we could not verify. Written to be acted on, not filed.

04

Standing coverage

Where the story keeps moving, we keep tracking it, so the read you commissioned does not go stale the week after it lands.

Put the method to a question.

Every engagement opens with a thirty-minute diagnostic call. Bring the decision you are weighing; we will tell you what we can verify and what we cannot.

Stay informed on the US-DRC Strategic Partnership.

A monthly briefing on Strategic Asset Reserve developments, governance-reform implementation, political-risk analysis and Lobito Corridor progress. Or schedule a confidential consultation with the desk.